It is a truism in Indian politics that ruling groups tend to do nicely in bypolls as they management the executive equipment. However, it might be a mistake to dismiss victories in two particular meeting segments that the BJP has received within the last one yr in Karnataka.
While it’s true that since November 2019 there have been 17 bypolls within the state and BJP has received 14. However, it’s the saffron celebration’s victory within the KR Pete seat last yr and the Sira seat now that actually stands out. The causes for which can be pretty easy.
The BJP has for lengthy been seen as a ‘Lingayat’ celebration, primarily due to the management of Yediyurappa, who belongs to the group. With a 17 per cent Lingayat inhabitants within the state, the celebration also has benefited from that notion.
The second is that the BJP has been a North Karnataka celebration with almost 81 of the 104 MLAs that received within the 2018 meeting polls coming from that a part of the state.
It has traditionally been weak in what’s seen because the ‘Old Mysuru region’ – comprising the districts which have been previously dominated by the Mysuru Wodeyar dynasty – and which by the way can also be dominated by the Vokkaliga group.
Vokkaligas, at round 13 per cent of the state inhabitants, aren’t just the second largest group however they’ve largely been proof against the charms of the BJP despite the celebration’s greatest efforts. The JDS has all the time championed the group’s trigger and every time the celebration has fallen out of favour, Vokkaligas have tended to back the Congress.
For the BJP, which fell 10 seats in need of a easy majority in 2008 and in 2018, the necessity to increase its social base particularly within the Old Mysuru area and amongst the Vokkaligas is vital if it needs to dominate the state politics.
Which is where, the wins in KR Pete of Mandya district last yr and Sira in Tumakuru now could be so essential. Both are Vokkaliga dominated and are within the outdated Mysuru area. Both are seen as bastions of Janata Dal (Secular) and the ability alternated between the regional celebration and the Congress.
In each the battles, the BJP entrusted the duty of successful these seats to the younger celebration vp Vijayendra. When last yr, KR Pete, where JD(S) turncoat Narayana Gowda who helped BJP topple the Congress-JDS coalition stood for bypolls, the JD(S) vowed revenge. Vijavendra ensured victory of Narayan Gowda towards odds but it surely was dismissed as a fluke.
Now, Vijayendra has repeated the feat in Sira where the BJP had by no means even come second and largely misplaced deposit in all earlier polls. By making certain victory of its candidate Rajesh Gowda, Vijayendra has proved that he’s any individual to look at in Karnataka politics.
It has helped that he’s the son of chief minister Yediyurappa. At 45, he’s very younger by political requirements, articulate and has bought his father’s knack of taking people alongside.
While his elder brother BY Raghavendra, the MP from Shivamogga, is seen as additional reserved, Vijayendra is seen as additional accessible by the celebration staff and public.
Given the political acumen he has displayed until now, most analysts, and even political opponents, imagine that it’s Vijayendra who would be the heir of Yediyurappa’s political legacy. Vijayendra has, in a current chat with HT, dismissed such hypothesis, saying that the family is united and that there isn’t a inside rivalry.
But it’s also more and more clear that Vijayendra is attempting to carve out a distinct segment for himself and step out of his father’s shadow. Vijayendra isn’t with out his share of controversies, with the opposition accusing him of being the tremendous CM and in addition being concerned in corruption, which he dismisses because the “price I pay for being the bridge between the CM and people as well as party workers”.
There is a rising clamour for Vijayendra to contest the Basva Kalyan bypoll which is more likely to happen within the subsequent few months. The incumbent Congress MLA Narayana Rao handed away resulting from Covid and the BJP should discover a candidate for the seat.
In the 2018 meeting ballot too, Vijayendra was an aspirant for the Varuna constituency which was ultimately received by one other former CM’s son Yathindra Siddaramiah. Even as CM Yediyurappa dismissed hypothesis that Vijayendra could be fielded from Basva Kalyan, the bold son himself is additional cautious and says “will take up any responsibility given by the party”.
For Vijayendra, the problem could be to proceed rising an id exterior of his father Yediyurappa and on the identical time inherit his political mantle as a pacesetter of Lingayats and past. How victorious he’s on this journey would decide his political future.